Fans of the Tyneside club are more and more viewing Eddie Howe's squad as a fickle companion. On their day, they prove to be the undisputed life of the party, producing breathtaking exhibitions. Yet, on other occasions, key figures like Sandro Tonali and others utterly fail to appear.
Exacerbating the frustration is a second-half strategy suffused by a worrying element of chaos. Before their holiday fixture to Old Trafford, the facts tell a concerning tale: the team has dropped 13 vital top-flight points from winning positions this term and are yet to keep a shutout in 10 straight outings in every tournament. Claiming three points at Old Trafford would represent only their second league triumph on the road this season.
On the flip side, a loss has only come once in their previous six Premier League encounters, and despite sitting in a seemingly lowly 11th position, they remain a mere 6 marks off the coveted Champions League places. Consider an looming two-part League Cup last-four clash against the reigning champions and a decent prospect of advancing to the European Cup knockout phase, and it becomes easier to see the gaffer's measured hope.
“Our issues aren't limited to difficulties,” stated the team's boss. “You can see positives as well. My glass is decidedly optimistic currently. I understand others could have a divergent take, but in my view we are improving.”
The question remains: will this group recapture – or even exceed – the achievements of the previous campaign's cup glory and European-qualifying finish? Balancing a congested schedule complicates.
The resulting tiredness may be the reason behind the failure to maintain a stellar first-half showing against Chelsea, ultimately letting slip a two-goal advantage to tie the game. Likewise, it could be the culprit for a subdued performance in a damaging defeat to local rivals Sunderland, where the team looked sluggish just days after a grueling European away day.
While on-field instruction is undoubtedly Howe's forte, the relentless grind of two games a week football has radically reduced valuable coaching hours. This impedes the squad's tactical evolution to operating with new striker Nick Woltemade up front, rather than the departed Alexander Isak. Although hugely talented, the German forward lacks the equivalent searing counter-attacking speed or intense defensive work rate.
In fact, the side's previously effective high press has occasionally failed. Injuries to crucial component the Brazilian midfielder have not helped, while expensive arrivals Anthony Elanga and the English midfielder have had difficulties settling since their substantial transfers.
If a switch to a 3-5-2 could arguably help the cause, a full-blown backline absence list makes that problematic. Important full-backs will be unavailable for the next key fixtures, further testing the squad's resources.
At their ferocious best, they look virtually unplayable. The problem is maintaining that level for the entire 90 minutes. The go-to plan B of sitting back into a deep-lying defensive formation has sometimes been self-destructive.
“That game became anarchic at 2-2,” said the manager. “However we were going for the victory. Our mentality is to always try to secure the three points.”
What appears necessary is a pragmatic solution – with better ball retention, a engine room capable of slowing the pace, and a realistic readiness to sometimes settle for a draw. Yet, a desire to compete on all fronts is pushing limited squad numbers to their breaking point.
This might sound heretical to some, but a different approach in the cup competitions in the initial stages could have alleviated the current fixture pile-up. With vital Champions League and Premier League games on the horizon, the necessity to strategically prioritize is becoming ever more obvious.
Eddie Howe recognized the size of the task remaining. “When you're at a club of this size, the demands are big. Every moment's pivotal. We have work to do in the Premier League. We're in the Carabao Cup last four, we aim to progress in the Champions League and perform in the FA Cup.
“The direction is in the right direction, but we have plenty of work to do to transform into the consistently winning side we want to be. Our capacity to string together sequences of victories has deserted us this season.
“The objective is to attain those heights we know we're able to reach. I believe that the self-belief to achieve it is returning. But now we have to prove it. It ain't all bad in this moment, but the next few weeks will determine a lot.”
Urban planner and writer passionate about sustainable city development and community engagement.